Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1246.567778 1410.943298 1591.778657 1805.965384 2053.347062 2330.818447 2666.617474
2025-11-23 996.420006 1217.255756 1482.106816 1825.237379 2261.036039 2800.054237 3523.389053
2025-11-30 861.967773 1109.249760 1423.958718 1858.122727 2448.195634 3231.791828 4367.215920
2025-12-07 739.618803 990.566931 1324.925114 1809.446454 2504.318064 3481.391569 4988.890791
2025-12-14 646.326804 894.925827 1239.134790 1759.159798 2540.096702 3694.010563 5575.385403
2025-12-21 569.478955 811.375983 1157.592913 1699.972203 2548.108595 3857.707779 6101.503205
2025-12-28 537.398499 787.608620 1157.706920 1758.949302 2738.366955 4320.148762 7172.718535
2026-01-04 502.134718 754.617381 1139.197363 1784.701961 2875.920663 4712.198677 8184.508157
2026-01-11 468.867200 720.886655 1115.187087 1797.190623 2990.415658 5077.034464 9203.617787
2026-01-18 439.143847 689.602673 1091.339650 1806.009187 3097.532152 5440.044205 10276.341081
2026-01-25 419.865722 673.214636 1089.726210 1851.718455 3274.233397 5951.415269 11727.044768
2026-02-01 399.677223 653.301803 1079.900065 1880.996451 3422.845560 6427.859325 13188.974890
2026-02-08 378.763460 630.958505 1064.826122 1900.984522 3560.167878 6909.794711 14775.484896
2026-02-15 359.645829 610.166928 1050.666639 1921.326830 3701.418495 7422.379655 16540.790064
2026-02-22 344.396851 594.818842 1044.658038 1956.179627 3875.890301 8030.608886 18659.577235
2026-03-01 319.075284 559.066750 997.678451 1904.591876 3861.415071 8219.252285 19773.152543
2026-03-08 295.992553 525.656391 952.255684 1851.308589 3836.232104 8378.847016 20843.437800
2026-03-15 273.901167 492.483305 904.608432 1788.608853 3782.400559 8463.110507 21728.866104
2026-03-22 267.929080 489.570976 915.690195 1851.085573 4020.986804 9290.339104 24885.006523
2026-03-29 258.474660 479.134953 910.829615 1878.371400 4180.685652 9946.454710 27703.121307
2026-04-05 248.247695 466.392057 900.182861 1891.604653 4308.141849 10539.827158 30478.416174
2026-04-12 238.365874 453.612461 888.390245 1900.949415 4427.136671 11130.180503 33397.210746
2026-04-19 232.700277 448.988467 893.303716 1949.391692 4651.825262 12050.373286 37669.566340